Middle Eastern energy disruptions are pushing WTI crude oil price expectations higher, with the WTI crude oil for April 2026 ...

Iran proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz post-war, but the US rejected it. Ceasefire by April 30 at 2.9% YES.

Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid have formed the BeYachad alliance to oppose Prime Minister Netanyahu, with the ...

Ukraine's drone strikes escalate, diminishing peace prospects. Ceasefire by April 30 at 0.2% YES, by May 31 at 3.6% YES.

The USS Rafael Peralta is actively supporting the US blockade on Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz. With 33 days left, ...

Panama Canal transit growth continues amid Middle East tensions. Odds of Iran targeting ships by April 30 rise to 87.5% YES.

Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $263 million, ending a nine-day inflow streak. Bitcoin above $86,000 by April 30 at 0.2% YES.

Wheat futures hit a 2-year high due to fertilizer supply disruptions from the Iran war. Iran agrees to surrender enriched ...

Sweden warns of a jet fuel shortage due to Middle East tensions. US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 at 0.4% YES.

IDF strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, straining ceasefire credibility. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 remains at 100% YES despite ...

Iran proposed military control of the Strait of Hormuz, lowering traffic normalcy odds to 18.5% YES by May 15.

Pump.fun burns $370M in PUMP and commits 50% of revenue to buybacks after months of investor concern over token value.